BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Skimmer In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaWetland birds

Black Skimmer in Peninsular Florida has risen sharply: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+61%Since 1969
14Routes In Region
31Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Skimmer has risen sharply in Peninsular Florida: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black Skimmer in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.31 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1026.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.31Projected 2028 index
0.00–1.195% range
±1026.1%Backtest error
19672028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.300.001.1
20250.300.001.1
20260.300.001.1
20270.310.001.1
20280.310.001.1

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Black Skimmer in Peninsular Florida.
Merritt IslFLORIDA312003
ScottsmoorFLORIDA202021
ShawanoFLORIDA122002
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA42014
SalvistaFLORIDA21973
Weaver StnFLORIDA22012
IndiantownFLORIDA11995
Plantation KFLORIDA11988
AndytownFLORIDA11975
Pleasant GrFLORIDA11995
HomesteadFLORIDA12023
Citrus ParkFLORIDA12004
Punta GordaFLORIDA11981
Wildernes PkFLORIDA12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.