Species · BCR 11 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-headed Grosbeak In Prairie Potholes

Black-headed Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes has increased: up 30% on the route-weighted index since 1980.

+30%Since 1980
14Routes In Region
43Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Black-headed Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-headed Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.000.0895% range
±18%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.040.000.08
20260.040.000.08
20270.040.000.08
20280.040.000.08
20290.040.000.08

Routes In Prairie Potholes

Routes recording Black-headed Grosbeak in Prairie Potholes.
Douglas CrkNORTH-DAKOTA32024
GlasgowMONTANA22009
Hay LakeMONTANA11988
ClevelandMONTANA12010
SacoMONTANA12021
LambertMONTANA12021
ReganNORTH-DAKOTA12018
CarpioNORTH-DAKOTA11993
StanleyNORTH-DAKOTA12023
Powers LakeNORTH-DAKOTA11980
ParshallNORTH-DAKOTA12006
BraddockNORTH-DAKOTA12014
GeddesSOUTH-DAKOTA11967
GormanSOUTH-DAKOTA12000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.