BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-crested Titmouse In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieForest birds

Black-crested Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie has surged: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

+100%Since 1994
8Routes In Region
32Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-crested Titmouse has surged in Gulf Coastal Prairie: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-crested Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 42% by 2029 — from 0.29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.41 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±195.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+42%Change by 2029
0.41Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±195.2%Backtest error
19902029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.450.001.4
20260.440.001.4
20270.430.001.4
20280.420.001.4
20290.410.001.3

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording Black-crested Titmouse in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
San PedroTEXAS72023
Loyola BeachTEXAS52009
Lag AtascosaTEXAS42024
Loyola Beach 2TEXAS22024
Bayside 2TEXAS22001
Goliad PrairieTEXAS22016
Bayside 3TEXAS12023
L. Atascosa NwrTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.