Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-bellied Whistling-Duck In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Black-bellied Whistling-Duck in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 217% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+217%Since 1969
28Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-bellied Whistling-Duck has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 217% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black-bellied Whistling-Duck in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 9.8 (95% range 0.00–23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+10%Change by 2029
9.8Projected 2029 index
0.00–2395% range
±61.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9.7 | 0.00 | 23 |
| 2026 | 9.7 | 0.00 | 23 |
| 2027 | 9.8 | 0.00 | 23 |
| 2028 | 9.8 | 0.00 | 23 |
| 2029 | 9.8 | 0.00 | 23 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 61 | 2024 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 54 | 2005 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 26 | 2011 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 18 | 2024 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 14 | 2017 |
| George West | TEXAS | 13 | 2023 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 6 | 2014 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 6 | 2001 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 5 | 1987 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 5 | 2023 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 4 | 2010 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 4 | 1982 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 4 | 2012 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 3 | 2022 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 2 | 2019 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 2 | 2019 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2017 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 2 | 2023 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.