Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-and-white Warbler In Piedmont
Black-and-white Warbler in Piedmont has surged: up 581% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+581%Since 1968
108Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-and-white Warbler has surged in Piedmont: up 581% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in Piedmont is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.96 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.79 (95% range 0.56–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.7%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.79Projected 2029 index
0.56–1.095% range
±27.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.74 | 0.51 | 0.97 |
| 2026 | 0.75 | 0.53 | 0.98 |
| 2027 | 0.76 | 0.54 | 0.99 |
| 2028 | 0.78 | 0.55 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.79 | 0.56 | 1.0 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Washington | GEORGIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Sharon | GEORGIA | 7 | 2022 |
| Whitmire | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 6 | 2024 |
| Mannboro | VIRGINIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Juliette | GEORGIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Sharon 2 | GEORGIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Liberty City 2 | ALABAMA | 4 | 2024 |
| Lincolnton | GEORGIA | 4 | 2017 |
| Carrs Station | GEORGIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Youngsville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 2024 |
| Gupton | NORTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 2024 |
| Ridgeway | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 2019 |
| Millerville | ALABAMA | 3 | 2024 |
| Maxeys | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Fairplay | GEORGIA | 3 | 1983 |
| Rutledge | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Whitesburg | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Curry Hill | GEORGIA | 3 | 2019 |
| Rock Branch | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Arcola | NORTH-CAROLINA | 3 | 2024 |
| Monticello | NORTH-CAROLINA | 3 | 2008 |
| Little Mtn | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 3 | 1983 |
| Carters Brdg 2 | VIRGINIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Liberty City | ALABAMA | 2 | 2011 |
| Nixburg 2 | ALABAMA | 2 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.