BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-and-white Warbler In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Black-and-white Warbler in Central Hardwoods has risen sharply: up 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+62%Since 1968
111Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Black-and-white Warbler has risen sharply in Central Hardwoods: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 127% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.99 (95% range 0.61–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±83.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+127%Change by 2029
0.99Projected 2029 index
0.61–1.495% range
±83.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.940.561.3
20260.960.571.3
20270.970.591.4
20280.980.601.4
20290.990.611.4

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Black-and-white Warbler in Central Hardwoods.
ComptonARKANSAS82022
CascadeMISSOURI62023
RupertARKANSAS52024
RudyARKANSAS52024
DixieKENTUCKY51968
Levee 2KENTUCKY52019
MarshallARKANSAS42021
Boston Mtn.ARKANSAS42024
WilliamsvillMISSOURI42024
Clementine 2MISSOURI42007
Wheeler DamALABAMA32009
ZionARKANSAS32024
CassvilleMISSOURI32022
CentervilleMISSOURI32024
BlandMISSOURI32019
CampbellsvilleTENNESSEE31988
SwaimALABAMA22019
CourtlandALABAMA21999
LurtonARKANSAS22017
FarwellARKANSAS22018
RussellARKANSAS22019
Ozark NfARKANSAS22024
DelwoodILLINOIS21989
Clear SpringINDIANA22005
HoosierINDIANA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.