Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-and-white Warbler In Boreal Hardwood Transition
Black-and-white Warbler in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 351% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+351%Since 1968
125Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-and-white Warbler has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 351% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Black-and-white Warbler in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.5 (95% range 5.4–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-8%Change by 2029
6.5Projected 2029 index
5.4–7.595% range
±12.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 7.3 |
| 2026 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 7.3 |
| 2027 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 7.4 |
| 2028 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 7.5 |
| 2029 | 6.5 | 5.4 | 7.5 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Debs | MINNESOTA | 24 | 2024 |
| Jordan | MINNESOTA | 23 | 2023 |
| Bigfork | MINNESOTA | 21 | 2024 |
| Nebish | MINNESOTA | 21 | 2023 |
| Chisholm | MINNESOTA | 20 | 2024 |
| Crane Lake | MINNESOTA | 19 | 2024 |
| Glendale | MINNESOTA | 18 | 2024 |
| Mellen | WISCONSIN | 18 | 2024 |
| Sherry Lake | MINNESOTA | 17 | 2022 |
| Nett Lake | MINNESOTA | 17 | 2024 |
| Mahtowa | MINNESOTA | 15 | 2023 |
| Little Fork | MINNESOTA | 14 | 2024 |
| Tamarac Nwr | MINNESOTA | 14 | 2024 |
| Weirgor Springs | WISCONSIN | 14 | 2024 |
| Tahquamenon | MICHIGAN | 13 | 2024 |
| Hart Lake | MINNESOTA | 13 | 2024 |
| Blackduck | MINNESOTA | 13 | 2022 |
| Flambeau | WISCONSIN | 13 | 2024 |
| Cavour | WISCONSIN | 13 | 2024 |
| Iron River | WISCONSIN | 12 | 2024 |
| Amnicon Falls | WISCONSIN | 12 | 2024 |
| Ontonagon | MICHIGAN | 11 | 2019 |
| Herman | MICHIGAN | 11 | 2022 |
| Crystal Fls | MICHIGAN | 11 | 2024 |
| Pickford | MICHIGAN | 11 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.