BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Bewick's Wren In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Bewick's Wren in Oaks and Prairies has edged down: down 13% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-13%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
61Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Bewick's Wren in Oaks and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Bewick's Wren In Oaks and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Bewick's Wren in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.7 (95% range 2.4–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.4–8.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±37.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Bewick's Wren in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 5.7 (95% range 2.4–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.52.38.8
20275.62.38.8
20285.62.38.9
20295.62.48.9
20305.72.48.9

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Bewick's Wren in Oaks and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Three RiversTEXAS532025
BriteTEXAS512025
CampbelltonTEXAS242024
DuranTEXAS241999
ComancheTEXAS232025
CottonwoodTEXAS202025
OsageTEXAS172025
SchroederTEXAS161997
DuncanOKLAHOMA132025
OlneyTEXAS112024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA102019
SadlerTEXAS102025
TatumsOKLAHOMA82025
Glen RoseTEXAS82025
WeatherfordTEXAS82025
SeldenTEXAS82025
GrafordTEXAS82025
FanninTEXAS82025
DecaturTEXAS82024
YoakumTEXAS72025
CleburneTEXAS72025
Lone OakTEXAS62021
Peach CreekTEXAS61976
AlbanyTEXAS62025
WalburgTEXAS62025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.