Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bendire's Thrasher In Chihuahuan Desert

Bendire's Thrasher in Chihuahuan Desert has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-72%Since 1971
7Routes In Region
29Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Bendire's Thrasher has fallen sharply in Chihuahuan Desert: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Bendire's Thrasher in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.26). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±243.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.000.2695% range
±243.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.26
20260.000.000.26
20270.000.000.26
20280.000.000.26
20290.000.000.26

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Bendire's Thrasher in Chihuahuan Desert.
Red RockNEW-MEXICO22023
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO22015
RoswellNEW-MEXICO12023
GageNEW-MEXICO12024
DemingNEW-MEXICO11971
RodeoNEW-MEXICO12000
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.