Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher In Southeastern Coastal Plain
Belted Kingfisher in Southeastern Coastal Plain has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-70%Since 1968
257Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in Southeastern Coastal Plain: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to fall about 40% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-40%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2595% range
±9.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| 2026 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2027 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| 2028 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| 2029 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain
| Gainestown Ferry | ALABAMA | 8 | 2015 |
| Sandhills | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 5 | 2024 |
| Latham | ALABAMA | 4 | 1979 |
| Foley | ALABAMA | 4 | 1977 |
| Fayette | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2003 |
| Duck Hill | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2023 |
| Arapahoe | NORTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 1989 |
| Belgrade | NORTH-CAROLINA | 4 | 2003 |
| South | ALABAMA | 3 | 2004 |
| Fairview | ALABAMA | 3 | 2018 |
| Oak Grove | FLORIDA | 3 | 2011 |
| Pitts | GEORGIA | 3 | 2024 |
| St Florian | ALABAMA | 2 | 2010 |
| Warrior Std | ALABAMA | 2 | 2015 |
| Brundidge | ALABAMA | 2 | 2021 |
| Brantley | ALABAMA | 2 | 2021 |
| Beatrice | ALABAMA | 2 | 2007 |
| Epes | ALABAMA | 2 | 2021 |
| Elamville | ALABAMA | 2 | 2022 |
| Rock Chapel | ALABAMA | 2 | 2011 |
| Madrid | ALABAMA | 2 | 2014 |
| Citronelle | ALABAMA | 2 | 2022 |
| St. Elmo | ALABAMA | 2 | 2013 |
| Broad Branch | FLORIDA | 2 | 2011 |
| Lovedale | FLORIDA | 2 | 2006 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.