BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Belted Kingfisher In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyWetland birds

Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has increased: up 26% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+26%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
48Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Belted Kingfisher In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 0.14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.00–0.47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.19Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.4795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 39% by 2030 — from 0.14 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.00–0.47). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.200.000.48
20270.200.000.47
20280.200.000.47
20290.200.000.47
20300.190.000.47

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI32024
SaffellARKANSAS22017
GillettARKANSAS22016
FreetownLOUISIANA21987
RoselandLOUISIANA22021
Port AllenLOUISIANA22004
DundeeMISSISSIPPI22004
Tchula 3MISSISSIPPI22019
PawpawTENNESSEE22009
EudoraARKANSAS12004
HughesARKANSAS11985
West TylerARKANSAS11972
South BendARKANSAS12025
HarrisburgARKANSAS11990
WhittonARKANSAS11991
AugustaARKANSAS11993
MaynardARKANSAS12024
DellARKANSAS12022
UlmARKANSAS11987
WilsonARKANSAS11997
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS12024
BardwellKENTUCKY12000
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY12023
Morgan CityLOUISIANA11976
KeystoneLOUISIANA11992

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.