Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Belted Kingfisher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-59%Since 1969
78Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.08 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.27). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±128.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2795% range
±128.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Old Milo | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2009 |
| Locust Bayou | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2010 |
| Nance | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Cypress | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1987 |
| Trout | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2018 |
| Natchitoches | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1989 |
| Phillips | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2005 |
| Hee Mountain | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 1999 |
| Morton | TEXAS | 2 | 2012 |
| Smyrna | TEXAS | 2 | 1995 |
| Ramsey | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1986 |
| Stamps | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Hope | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2009 |
| Ashdown | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1992 |
| Crows | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1990 |
| Poyen | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2000 |
| Hollywood | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1994 |
| Blakely | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1996 |
| Waldron | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1996 |
| Stark | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Massard | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1983 |
| Havana | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Princeton | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2011 |
| Dry Fork | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2022 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.