Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher In BCR 2
Belted Kingfisher in BCR 2 has fallen sharply: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
-74%Since 1985
9Routes In Region
28Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in BCR 2: down 74% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in BCR 2 is projected to fall about 32% by 2028 — from 0.22 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.15 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±84.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-32%Change by 2028
0.15Projected 2028 index
0.00–1.095% range
±84.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1.1 |
| 2027 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
Routes In BCR 2
| Kodiak | ALASKA | 2 | 1984 |
| Kodiak 2 | ALASKA | 2 | 2023 |
| Togiak River | ALASKA | 2 | 2004 |
| Katmai N.P. | ALASKA | 1 | 1994 |
| Chiniak | ALASKA | 1 | 2022 |
| Dillingham | ALASKA | 1 | 2011 |
| Cold Bay | ALASKA | 1 | 2019 |
| King Salmon | ALASKA | 1 | 2002 |
| Kanektok Riv | ALASKA | 1 | 1995 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.