BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Belted Kingfisher In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Belted Kingfisher in Badlands and Prairies has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-42%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
59Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Belted Kingfisher in Badlands and Prairies. See the full index history below.

Belted Kingfisher In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-68%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.02Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.1495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±46.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.030.000.15
20260.030.000.15
20270.030.000.15
20280.030.000.15
20290.020.000.14

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Belted Kingfisher in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HighwoodMONTANA32022
FlatwillowMONTANA31975
WebsterMONTANA21981
Reed PointMONTANA22024
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA22018
LarkNORTH-DAKOTA21971
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA22015
RosebudSOUTH-DAKOTA21973
RockyfordSOUTH-DAKOTA21967
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA21996
White RiverSOUTH-DAKOTA21997
EnglewoodSOUTH-DAKOTA22017
NorbeckSOUTH-DAKOTA22002
LeroyMONTANA12014
RoyMONTANA12019
Two DotMONTANA12024
ShawmutMONTANA12023
ForsythMONTANA12016
PowdervilleMONTANA11974
AlbionMONTANA12018
Bull Mtn.MONTANA12016
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA11993
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA11974
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA11981
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA12018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.