Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher In Sierra Nevada
Belted Kingfisher in Sierra Nevada has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
-56%Since 1974
22Routes In Region
46Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in Sierra Nevada: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 89% by 2029 — from 0.21 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.28). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-89%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2895% range
±74.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.29 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Genesee | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Higgins Corn | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2015 |
| Paxton | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2004 |
| Last Chance | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2018 |
| Eagle Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Bass Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1979 |
| Johnsville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2010 |
| Woodfords | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Kings Canyon | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2012 |
| Tuolumne Grove | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1978 |
| Sattley | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Butte Meadow | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1992 |
| Downieville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Hat Creek | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1980 |
| Lakeshore | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1986 |
| Meadow Valley | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2015 |
| Little Truckee | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
| Placerville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2009 |
| Coulterville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2006 |
| Wawona | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2012 |
| Pine Mountain | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2001 |
| Chilcoot | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1998 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.