Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher In Atlantic Northern Forest
Belted Kingfisher in Atlantic Northern Forest has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-55%Since 1968
149Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Belted Kingfisher has fallen sharply in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 53% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.18 (95% range 0.00–0.36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-53%Change by 2029
0.18Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3695% range
±50.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 0.39 |
| 2026 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 0.38 |
| 2027 | 0.20 | 0.02 | 0.38 |
| 2028 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.37 |
| 2029 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Castine | MAINE | 4 | 1986 |
| Moose River | MAINE | 4 | 2005 |
| Wytopitlock | MAINE | 3 | 1997 |
| Hudson | MAINE | 3 | 2016 |
| Clayton Lake | MAINE | 3 | 2001 |
| Clayton Lake 2 | MAINE | 3 | 2011 |
| Milan | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 3 | 2024 |
| Landgrove | VERMONT | 3 | 2007 |
| New Hartford | CONNECTICUT | 2 | 2010 |
| South Arm | MAINE | 2 | 1997 |
| Freedom | MAINE | 2 | 2007 |
| Northfield | MAINE | 2 | 1980 |
| Charleston | MAINE | 2 | 2017 |
| Greenville | MAINE | 2 | 2019 |
| Priestly Br. | MAINE | 2 | 2011 |
| Baker Lake | MAINE | 2 | 2001 |
| Heron Lake | MAINE | 2 | 1993 |
| Lake Moxie | MAINE | 2 | 2021 |
| Andover | MAINE | 2 | 2010 |
| Brownfield 2 | MAINE | 2 | 2018 |
| Fitzwilliam | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Mt Chocorua | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Crawford Not | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 1973 |
| Franconia | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Jeffers Ntch | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.