Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Belted Kingfisher In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
Belted Kingfisher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-33%Since 1968
81Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Belted Kingfisher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Belted Kingfisher in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.24 (95% range 0.00–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±27.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-24%Change by 2029
0.24Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4895% range
±27.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.26 | 0.02 | 0.51 |
| 2026 | 0.26 | 0.01 | 0.50 |
| 2027 | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0.49 |
| 2028 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.49 |
| 2029 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain
| Austerlitz | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2004 |
| Sugar Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 4 | 2023 |
| Oneida | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2008 |
| Salem | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2021 |
| North Easton | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2017 |
| Parishville | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2023 |
| Lattasburg | OHIO | 3 | 2024 |
| Hiram | OHIO | 3 | 2018 |
| Catskills | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1989 |
| Ghent | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2016 |
| Ballston Lk | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1995 |
| Trumansburg | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2023 |
| Canadice L | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| Castile | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2013 |
| Nashville | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2018 |
| St Johnsburg | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2022 |
| Cicero Ctr | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| Alder Creek | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2002 |
| N Wilmurt | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1993 |
| Ogdensburg | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2023 |
| Naples | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2023 |
| Garrettsvile | OHIO | 2 | 1989 |
| Valley City | OHIO | 2 | 2000 |
| Slippery Rk | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1990 |
| Akeley | PENNSYLVANIA | 2 | 1976 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.