Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Bell's Vireo In Central Hardwoods
Bell's Vireo in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 235% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+235%Since 1969
55Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Bell's Vireo has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 234% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Bell's Vireo in Central Hardwoods is projected to fall about 25% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.12–0.38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-25%Change by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.12–0.3895% range
±28%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| 2027 | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.37 |
| 2028 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.37 |
| 2029 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.38 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Rupert | ARKANSAS | 16 | 1993 |
| Pimento | INDIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Millersburg | INDIANA | 4 | 2014 |
| Pulaski | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2024 |
| Brownville | ILLINOIS | 3 | 2024 |
| Sedalia | MISSOURI | 3 | 2024 |
| Fulton | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Centerton | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| Farwell | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2018 |
| York | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2024 |
| Royalton | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2024 |
| Sweden | MISSOURI | 2 | 1985 |
| Lincoln | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Miller | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Zion | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2016 |
| Avoca | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Russell | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2021 |
| Rudy | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Brnt Prairie | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2014 |
| Birds | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2024 |
| Bremen | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2022 |
| Belknap | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2018 |
| Delwood | ILLINOIS | 1 | 2018 |
| Beaverdam Lk | ILLINOIS | 1 | 1970 |
| Brazil | INDIANA | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.