BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barred Owl In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Barred Owl in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 440% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+440%Since 1968
265Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Barred Owl has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 440% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Appalachian Mountains is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 0.22 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.15–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029
0.19Projected 2029 index
0.15–0.2395% range
±14.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.180.140.22
20260.180.140.22
20270.180.140.22
20280.190.150.23
20290.190.150.23

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Barred Owl in Appalachian Mountains.
Starlight 2PENNSYLVANIA52024
Green BankWEST-VIRGINIA42013
WymerWEST-VIRGINIA42014
FinzelMARYLAND32024
SwainNEW-YORK32003
Wayne N.F.OHIO32024
Smokey JctTENNESSEE32021
Cades CoveTENNESSEE32018
Iron Mtn.VIRGINIA32006
StollingsWEST-VIRGINIA32021
ShanghaiWEST-VIRGINIA32021
Borden Springs 2ALABAMA22024
OakmanGEORGIA22012
Cumberlnd GpKENTUCKY22018
MonticelloKENTUCKY22002
Pippa PassesKENTUCKY21994
KehoeKENTUCKY21974
Kehoe 2KENTUCKY22019
SmithsburgMARYLAND22013
MiddletownNEW-YORK22010
MeridaleNEW-YORK22023
Phillips CrNEW-YORK22014
Oxford 2NEW-YORK22024
Table RockNORTH-CAROLINA22021
KyleNORTH-CAROLINA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.