Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Barred Owl In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Barred Owl in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 306% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+306%Since 1968
58Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Barred Owl has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 306% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 55% by 2029 — from 0.67 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.32–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+55%Change by 2029
1.0Projected 2029 index
0.32–1.795% range
±40.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.99 | 0.28 | 1.7 |
| 2026 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 1.7 |
| 2027 | 1.0 | 0.30 | 1.7 |
| 2028 | 1.0 | 0.31 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 1.0 | 0.32 | 1.7 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2019 |
| Ramah | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2024 |
| Berwick | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2011 |
| Freetown | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2019 |
| Atchafalaya | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Delta N.F. | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2021 |
| Tallahatchie | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2023 |
| Pawpaw | TENNESSEE | 4 | 2012 |
| Kraemer | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2024 |
| Hughes | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| West Tyler | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1982 |
| South Bend | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2023 |
| England | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Gillett | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2016 |
| Kelso | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2014 |
| Bardwell 2 | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2024 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1986 |
| Rayville | LOUISIANA | 2 | 1994 |
| Brousville | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2023 |
| River Road | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2022 |
| Tensas Nwr | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Eagle Lake | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 2023 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 2023 |
| Deventer | MISSOURI | 2 | 1986 |
| Kennett | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.