BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barred Owl In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Barred Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has held roughly steady: up 5% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+5%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
95Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Barred Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Barred Owl In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.25 (95% range 0.01–0.49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.25Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.01–0.4995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±98.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.25 (95% range 0.01–0.49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±98.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.260.020.51
20260.260.010.50
20270.260.010.50
20280.250.010.50
20290.250.010.49

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Barred Owl in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Liberty HillTEXAS62023
IndianolaOKLAHOMA42024
MatoyOKLAHOMA42000
Union HillTEXAS42021
RamseyARKANSAS31997
ChathamLOUISIANA31970
TroutLOUISIANA32023
Mount UnionLOUISIANA32023
HargisLOUISIANA32011
Neches BithTEXAS32017
Dry ForkARKANSAS22021
Magazine MtnARKANSAS22019
De RidderLOUISIANA22014
ClayLOUISIANA22021
De QuincyLOUISIANA22021
NatchezLOUISIANA22021
Big CedarOKLAHOMA22023
BlancoOKLAHOMA21997
McalesterOKLAHOMA21971
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA22021
Mt. HermanOKLAHOMA22016
LivingstonTEXAS21994
AthensTEXAS22023
Bon WierTEXAS22021
Smyrna 2TEXAS22016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.