Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Barred Owl In Atlantic Northern Forest
Barred Owl in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 247% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+247%Since 1970
118Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Barred Owl has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 247% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Barred Owl in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 0.56 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.06–0.38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-62%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.06–0.3895% range
±55.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.36 |
| 2026 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
| 2027 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
| 2028 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.37 |
| 2029 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.38 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Gilmantn I W | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 5 | 2024 |
| Inlet | NEW-YORK | 5 | 2016 |
| S Horicon | NEW-YORK | 4 | 2016 |
| Washburn | MAINE | 3 | 1995 |
| Peterborough | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 3 | 2021 |
| Dexter Lake | NEW-YORK | 3 | 1975 |
| Old Forge 2 | NEW-YORK | 3 | 2014 |
| New Hartford | CONNECTICUT | 2 | 2018 |
| Harmony | MAINE | 2 | 1988 |
| Aurora | MAINE | 2 | 2004 |
| Concord | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Marlow | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 2 | 2024 |
| Mckeever | NEW-YORK | 2 | 1993 |
| Old Forge | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2006 |
| Degrasse | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2021 |
| Wanakena | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2024 |
| Gabriels | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2021 |
| Underwood 2 | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2009 |
| Horseshoe L. | NEW-YORK | 2 | 2004 |
| Landgrove | VERMONT | 2 | 1997 |
| S Reading | VERMONT | 2 | 2024 |
| Gaysville | VERMONT | 2 | 2001 |
| Post Mills | VERMONT | 2 | 1994 |
| W Rutland | VERMONT | 2 | 2024 |
| East Calais | VERMONT | 2 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.