BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 20 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Edwards Plateau

All regionsEdwards PlateauAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Edwards Plateau has surged: up 71× on the route-weighted index since 1971.

71×Since 1971
20Routes In Region
53Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Barn Swallow has surged in Edwards Plateau: up 71× on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Edwards Plateau is projected to fall about 27% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.0 (95% range 5.1–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-27%Change by 2029
9.0Projected 2029 index
5.1–1395% range
±31.8%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.44.612
20268.64.712
20278.74.913
20288.85.013
20299.05.113

Routes In Edwards Plateau

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Edwards Plateau.
Pidcoke 2TEXAS1142024
ManorTEXAS482024
LeanderTEXAS102006
UtopiaTEXAS92024
BoerneTEXAS72023
HarperTEXAS72024
AdamsvilleTEXAS52024
GeorgetownTEXAS41985
Dripping SpgTEXAS32024
Prairie Mtn.TEXAS32024
RockspringTEXAS32024
Valley SpgsTEXAS22023
San SabaTEXAS22024
FitzhughTEXAS11982
PidcokeTEXAS12017
KempnerTEXAS12023
Indian MtnTEXAS12023
LeakeyTEXAS12024
MontellTEXAS12024
Allen CreekTEXAS12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.