BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Barn Swallow In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieAerial insectivores

Barn Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has edged down: down 21% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-21%Since 1969
129Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Barn Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Barn Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 18 (95% range 11–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
11–2595% range
±30.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025181125
2026181125
2027181125
2028181125
2029181125

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Barn Swallow in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
LibertyNEBRASKA702003
CovertKANSAS642024
ColonyOKLAHOMA591995
Liberty 2NEBRASKA482007
JetOKLAHOMA472024
OcontoNEBRASKA461981
ArapahoOKLAHOMA462014
ColdwaterKANSAS452022
HamptonNEBRASKA412024
GrimesOKLAHOMA412024
CoopertonOKLAHOMA402024
AlbertKANSAS382024
BeaverOKLAHOMA382018
WakitaOKLAHOMA372016
PetersburgNEBRASKA362023
JohnstownNEBRASKA342024
CashionOKLAHOMA342024
SurpriseNEBRASKA332024
ChambersNEBRASKA322023
HodgesKANSAS312014
BerwynNEBRASKA312010
SargentNEBRASKA292024
BeloitKANSAS282003
ElginOKLAHOMA282016
KanopolisKANSAS272024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.