Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Band-tailed Pigeon In Great Basin
Band-tailed Pigeon in Great Basin has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-62%Since 1970
27Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Band-tailed Pigeon has fallen sharply in Great Basin: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Band-tailed Pigeon in Great Basin is projected to fall about 75% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.50). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±95.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-75%Change by 2029
0.03Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5095% range
±95.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.52 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.51 |
| 2029 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Harrington | WASHINGTON | 11 | 1972 |
| Index | WASHINGTON | 9 | 1971 |
| Nubieber | CALIFORNIA | 8 | 2016 |
| Twisp | WASHINGTON | 8 | 1998 |
| Nighthawk | WASHINGTON | 8 | 2018 |
| Tionesta | CALIFORNIA | 7 | 2017 |
| Snowden | WASHINGTON | 7 | 2024 |
| Newhalem | WASHINGTON | 5 | 2023 |
| Concrete | WASHINGTON | 5 | 2023 |
| Bartle | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Medicine Mtn. | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Mt Hood | OREGON | 4 | 2024 |
| Gardnerville | NEVADA | 3 | 2011 |
| Glacier | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2024 |
| Leavenworth | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2022 |
| Suiattle Riv | WASHINGTON | 3 | 2018 |
| Modoc Point | OREGON | 2 | 2009 |
| Kendall | WASHINGTON | 2 | 2024 |
| White Chuck | WASHINGTON | 2 | 1996 |
| Fall River Mills | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2006 |
| Badger Creek | OREGON | 1 | 2008 |
| Newcastle | UTAH | 1 | 1999 |
| Ronald | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2023 |
| L. Wenatchee | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2000 |
| Index 2 | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.