BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Baltimore Oriole In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Baltimore Oriole in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has fallen sharply: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-65%Since 1968
59Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Baltimore Oriole has fallen sharply in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: down 65% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Baltimore Oriole in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 73% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-73%Change by 2029
0.48Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.195% range
±47.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.720.002.3
20260.660.002.3
20270.600.002.2
20280.540.002.2
20290.480.002.1

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Baltimore Oriole in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
ShawLOUISIANA172024
River RoadLOUISIANA82024
DundeeMISSISSIPPI82021
South BendARKANSAS72023
MayflowerLOUISIANA72024
GillettARKANSAS62024
BardwellKENTUCKY62003
Pawpaw 2TENNESSEE62022
KelsoARKANSAS52016
TchulaMISSISSIPPI51975
PawpawTENNESSEE52012
EnglandARKANSAS42024
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI42024
WhittonARKANSAS31991
AugustaARKANSAS32001
Augusta 2ARKANSAS32016
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS32024
WintervilleMISSISSIPPI32009
TallahatchieMISSISSIPPI32023
EudoraARKANSAS21995
HughesARKANSAS22023
HarrisburgARKANSAS22019
Morgan CityLOUISIANA21977
FloydLOUISIANA22019
GonzalesLOUISIANA22011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.