BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Bald Eagle In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Bald Eagle in Peninsular Florida has surged: up 286% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+286%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
56Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
49YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Bald Eagle has surged in Peninsular Florida: up 286% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Bald Eagle In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Bald Eagle in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 106% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.15–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+106%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.33Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.15–0.5195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±52.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Bald Eagle in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 106% by 2029 — from 0.16 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.33 (95% range 0.15–0.51). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.310.130.49
20260.320.140.49
20270.320.140.50
20280.320.140.50
20290.330.150.51

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Bald Eagle in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
TamiamiFLORIDA21971
SandyFLORIDA22015
ClewistonFLORIDA22023
Myakka Head 2FLORIDA22018
Lake BuffumFLORIDA22018
Pleasant Grove 2FLORIDA22022
Shawano 2FLORIDA22004
CroomFLORIDA22023
CitrusFLORIDA22012
Dupuis W.E.AFLORIDA22022
RomeoFLORIDA12019
Dale MabryFLORIDA11986
Myakka HeadFLORIDA12003
St AugustineFLORIDA12024
San AntonioFLORIDA12011
BelmoreFLORIDA12024
MabelFLORIDA12006
ChildsFLORIDA12000
ScottsmoorFLORIDA12010
Sunniland GrFLORIDA12004
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA12012
PinecrestFLORIDA12019
KenansvilleFLORIDA12024
IndiantownFLORIDA12017
Ft MccoyFLORIDA11990

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.