BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Baird's Sparrow In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGrassland birds

Baird's Sparrow in Badlands and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-61%Since 1969
55Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Baird's Sparrow has fallen sharply in Badlands and Prairies: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Baird's Sparrow in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 48% by 2029 — from 0.40 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±72.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-48%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±72.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.270.001.1
20260.250.001.1
20270.240.001.0
20280.220.001.0
20290.210.001.0

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Baird's Sparrow in Badlands and Prairies.
Two DotMONTANA142024
SavageMONTANA92015
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA72023
CircleMONTANA52021
AlbionMONTANA52023
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA52024
WinnettMONTANA42018
Hehn DrawMONTANA42022
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA42018
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA42009
BrusettMONTANA32018
BrandenbergMONTANA31991
Coleman CouleeMONTANA32019
DickinsonNORTH-DAKOTA32024
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA32023
LaplantSOUTH-DAKOTA31974
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA32012
LocateMONTANA22022
PowdervilleMONTANA22017
Jordan SouthMONTANA22024
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA22004
Roosevelt PkNORTH-DAKOTA22017
Cedar CreekNORTH-DAKOTA22022
SolenNORTH-DAKOTA22007
CarsonNORTH-DAKOTA22019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.