Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Wigeon In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regions Northern Pacific Rainforest Waterfowl

American Wigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest has risen sharply: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

+61%Since 1985

11Routes In Region

31Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Wigeon has risen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: up 61% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Wigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 62% by 2029 — from 0.17 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.07 (95% range 0.00–0.19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±103.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-62%Change by 2029

0.07Projected 2029 index

0.00–0.1995% range

±103.8%Backtest error

Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.

Year	Projected index	95% high
2025	0.07	0.19
2026	0.07	0.19
2027	0.07	0.19
2028	0.07	0.19
2029	0.07	0.19

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording American Wigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest.

Cordova	ALASKA	13	2024
Sheep Mtn	ALASKA	5	2011
Yakutat	ALASKA	4	2014
Skagway	ALASKA	2	1999
Copper River	ALASKA	2	2004
Haines	ALASKA	1	1995
Thompson Pas	ALASKA	1	2016
Moose Pass	ALASKA	1	1985
Thorne Bay	ALASKA	1	1994
Hyder	ALASKA	1	2003
Adair	OREGON	1	2021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.