Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Three-toed Woodpecker In Northern Pacific Rainforest
American Three-toed Woodpecker in Northern Pacific Rainforest has surged: up 222% on the route-weighted index since 1994.
+222%Since 1994
13Routes In Region
29Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
American Three-toed Woodpecker has surged in Northern Pacific Rainforest: up 222% on the route-weighted index since 1994.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Three-toed Woodpecker in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-45%Change by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±55.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2028 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2029 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest
| Hope | ALASKA | 4 | 2024 |
| Mitkof Isle | ALASKA | 2 | 2018 |
| Juneau Alt | ALASKA | 1 | 1984 |
| Sheep Mtn | ALASKA | 1 | 2000 |
| Hoonah | ALASKA | 1 | 2023 |
| Skagway | ALASKA | 1 | 1993 |
| Chichagof Is | ALASKA | 1 | 2024 |
| Alpenglow (Short) | ALASKA | 1 | 2003 |
| Elk Lake | OREGON | 1 | 2003 |
| Bull Run | OREGON | 1 | 2016 |
| Packwood | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2012 |
| Mt Rainier | WASHINGTON | 1 | 2018 |
| Mt. Adams | WASHINGTON | 1 | 1994 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.