BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

American Redstart in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 189% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+189%Since 1968
352Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 188% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.1 (95% range 5.2–7.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2029
6.1Projected 2029 index
5.2–7.095% range
±6.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.85.06.7
20265.95.06.7
20276.05.16.8
20286.05.26.9
20296.15.27.0

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording American Redstart in Appalachian Mountains.
Big MeadowsVIRGINIA672024
Front RoyalVIRGINIA592024
StollingsWEST-VIRGINIA422021
Laurel HillPENNSYLVANIA412024
Mill RunPENNSYLVANIA352024
Three ForksWEST-VIRGINIA352024
Valley HeadWEST-VIRGINIA332024
Tar HollowOHIO302024
Tussey Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA272024
MeadowvilleWEST-VIRGINIA272024
Broad Mtn.PENNSYLVANIA262024
RasselasPENNSYLVANIA252022
High PointNEW-JERSEY242024
Pine Gr MillPENNSYLVANIA242024
YawkeyWEST-VIRGINIA232024
SmithfieldWEST-VIRGINIA232024
PoyntellePENNSYLVANIA222024
DuboistownPENNSYLVANIA222024
CedarvilleWEST-VIRGINIA222023
BetulaPENNSYLVANIA212022
Elk ValleyTENNESSEE212022
BowdenWEST-VIRGINIA212024
OldtownMARYLAND202024
CorbettsvileNEW-YORK202024
OneontaNEW-YORK202024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.