BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasForest birds

American Redstart in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-79%Since 1969
49Routes In Region
50Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

American Redstart has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 81% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±101.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-81%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2495% range
±101.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.030.000.26
20260.030.000.25
20270.030.000.25
20280.020.000.24
20290.020.000.24

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording American Redstart in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
FishvilleLOUISIANA82012
StarkARKANSAS31968
ChathamLOUISIANA31973
Flat CreekLOUISIANA22024
ZwolleLOUISIANA22023
Fishville 2LOUISIANA22021
LinvilleLOUISIANA22007
New WaverlyTEXAS22012
Old MiloARKANSAS11982
RamseyARKANSAS11997
Locust BayouARKANSAS11973
StampsARKANSAS12017
HopeARKANSAS12011
AshdownARKANSAS11992
CrowsARKANSAS11967
PoyenARKANSAS12003
HollywoodARKANSAS12019
BlakelyARKANSAS11982
Coal HillARKANSAS11981
SimsARKANSAS12024
LockesburgARKANSAS12011
SpringhillARKANSAS12021
PrincetonARKANSAS12007
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS12022
Magazine MtnARKANSAS12014

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.