Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
American Redstart In Badlands and Prairies
American Redstart in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 125% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+125%Since 1969
47Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
American Redstart has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 125% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.51 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.85 (95% range 0.43–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+65%Change by 2029
0.85Projected 2029 index
0.43–1.395% range
±36%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.80 | 0.39 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.81 | 0.40 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.82 | 0.41 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.84 | 0.42 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.85 | 0.43 | 1.3 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Moskee 2 | WYOMING | 19 | 2021 |
| Moskee 3 | WYOMING | 18 | 2024 |
| Moskee | WYOMING | 11 | 2001 |
| Sundance | WYOMING | 7 | 2024 |
| Long Draw | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 5 | 2024 |
| Circle | MONTANA | 2 | 2013 |
| Reed Point | MONTANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Miles City | MONTANA | 2 | 2021 |
| Crookston | NEBRASKA | 2 | 2024 |
| Winner | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 1971 |
| Rosebud | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 1967 |
| Promise | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2012 |
| Highwood | MONTANA | 1 | 2024 |
| Two Dot | MONTANA | 1 | 2021 |
| Shawmut | MONTANA | 1 | 1992 |
| Flatwillow | MONTANA | 1 | 1982 |
| Forsyth | MONTANA | 1 | 2022 |
| Locate | MONTANA | 1 | 2009 |
| St Xavier | MONTANA | 1 | 1996 |
| Brandenberg | MONTANA | 1 | 2014 |
| Powderville | MONTANA | 1 | 2005 |
| Maynard Coulee | MONTANA | 1 | 2018 |
| Oglala Nat. Grass. | NEBRASKA | 1 | 2014 |
| Tobacco | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2019 |
| Gorham | NORTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2016 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.