Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Redstart In Badlands and Prairies

American Redstart in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 125% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+125%Since 1969
47Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Redstart has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 125% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Redstart in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.51 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.85 (95% range 0.43–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+65%Change by 2029
0.85Projected 2029 index
0.431.395% range
±36%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.800.391.2
20260.810.401.2
20270.820.411.2
20280.840.421.3
20290.850.431.3

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording American Redstart in Badlands and Prairies.
Moskee 2WYOMING192021
Moskee 3WYOMING182024
MoskeeWYOMING112001
SundanceWYOMING72024
Long DrawSOUTH-DAKOTA52024
CircleMONTANA22013
Reed PointMONTANA22024
Miles CityMONTANA22021
CrookstonNEBRASKA22024
WinnerSOUTH-DAKOTA21971
RosebudSOUTH-DAKOTA21967
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA22012
HighwoodMONTANA12024
Two DotMONTANA12021
ShawmutMONTANA11992
FlatwillowMONTANA11982
ForsythMONTANA12022
LocateMONTANA12009
St XavierMONTANA11996
BrandenbergMONTANA12014
PowdervilleMONTANA12005
Maynard CouleeMONTANA12018
Oglala Nat. Grass.NEBRASKA12014
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA12019
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA12016

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.