BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Kestrel In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

American Kestrel in Prairie Hardwood Transition has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-20%Since 1968
154Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for American Kestrel in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Kestrel in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 22% by 2029 — from 0.52 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.63 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+22%Change by 2029
0.63Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±67.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.670.021.3
20260.660.011.3
20270.650.001.3
20280.640.001.3
20290.630.001.3

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording American Kestrel in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
NapoleonOHIO62024
Columbia CtyINDIANA52004
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN52012
EvergreenMINNESOTA52024
MillvilleMINNESOTA42017
BismarkOHIO41995
AnnatonWISCONSIN42023
KnoxINDIANA32019
PackertownINDIANA32004
St CharlesMICHIGAN31995
Maple RapidsMICHIGAN32021
AdrianMICHIGAN32007
Belding 2MICHIGAN32015
OmroWISCONSIN32001
Mount HorebWISCONSIN31988
KielWISCONSIN32022
Lake GalenaILLINOIS22021
KewannaINDIANA22021
MiddleburyINDIANA22024
LakevilleINDIANA22021
Packertown 2INDIANA22024
LagrangeINDIANA22019
LawrenceMICHIGAN22023
BeldingMICHIGAN22000
GalesburgMICHIGAN22021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.