BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Goldfinch In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

American Goldfinch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-72%Since 1969
36Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

American Goldfinch has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Goldfinch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 141% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.24 (95% range 0.00–0.53). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±88.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+141%Change by 2029
0.24Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5395% range
±88.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.250.000.54
20260.240.000.54
20270.240.000.54
20280.240.000.53
20290.240.000.53

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording American Goldfinch in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
AshdownARKANSAS42007
BlakelyARKANSAS31998
WaldronARKANSAS32023
HavanaARKANSAS32021
Hatfield 2ARKANSAS32023
Magazine MtnARKANSAS32021
Mer RougeLOUISIANA31969
Hee MountainOKLAHOMA32024
Old MiloARKANSAS21996
StarkARKANSAS22022
NanceARKANSAS22019
Dry ForkARKANSAS22023
Big CedarOKLAHOMA22015
BethelOKLAHOMA22024
PocolaOKLAHOMA22015
RamseyARKANSAS11985
Locust BayouARKANSAS12005
StampsARKANSAS11997
CrowsARKANSAS11988
HollywoodARKANSAS12016
Coal HillARKANSAS12017
MassardARKANSAS12022
SimsARKANSAS12023
StephensARKANSAS12016
PrincetonARKANSAS12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.