BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Goldfinch In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesGeneralists

American Goldfinch in Oaks and Prairies has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-81%Since 1969
16Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

American Goldfinch has collapsed in Oaks and Prairies: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Goldfinch in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 139% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.81). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±637.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+139%Change by 2029
0.36Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8195% range
±637.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.350.000.81
20260.350.000.81
20270.350.000.81
20280.360.000.81
20290.360.000.81

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording American Goldfinch in Oaks and Prairies.
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA32024
ChoctawOKLAHOMA32015
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA31977
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA22004
BeggsOKLAHOMA22022
LocoOKLAHOMA11980
ArdmoreOKLAHOMA11989
NobleOKLAHOMA12024
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12019
TatumsOKLAHOMA12024
HeyburnOKLAHOMA12024
DuncanOKLAHOMA12024
SkiatookOKLAHOMA12019
Arenosa CrkTEXAS11970
Oak GroveTEXAS11986
DikeTEXAS11974

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.