BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Goldfinch In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieGeneralists

American Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 97% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+97%Since 1969
61Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

American Goldfinch has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 97% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.73 (95% range 0.10–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±84.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-34%Change by 2029
0.73Projected 2029 index
0.10–1.395% range
±84.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.700.081.3
20260.710.081.3
20270.710.091.3
20280.720.101.3
20290.730.101.3

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording American Goldfinch in Shortgrass Prairie.
CrawfordNEBRASKA262024
KimballNEBRASKA251978
Pine RidgeNEBRASKA252024
Agate 2NEBRASKA142024
Hay SpringsNEBRASKA102024
Adams Co.COLORADO82022
LimonCOLORADO72003
PinneoCOLORADO62019
BennettCOLORADO62015
MaxwellNEW-MEXICO61997
Kiowa 2COLORADO42024
RockportCOLORADO42018
YoderWYOMING42009
KiowaCOLORADO32018
HudsonCOLORADO32023
VillegreenCOLORADO32001
ArsenalCOLORADO32015
PaxtonNEBRASKA32016
BenkelmanNEBRASKA32022
BriggsdaleCOLORADO21993
AbarrCOLORADO21992
TrincheraCOLORADO22015
StonehamCOLORADO22010
NunnCOLORADO22021
Fort MorganCOLORADO22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.