BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 37 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow In Gulf Coastal Prairie

All regionsGulf Coastal PrairieGeneralists

American Crow in Gulf Coastal Prairie has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-7%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
36Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Gulf Coastal Prairie. See the full index history below.

American Crow In Gulf Coastal Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 3.6–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
13Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.6–2195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±44.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Gulf Coastal Prairie is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 13 (95% range 3.6–21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025123.621
2026123.621
2027123.621
2028123.621
2029133.621

Routes In Gulf Coastal Prairie

Routes recording American Crow in Gulf Coastal Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
LafitteLOUISIANA761991
Vinton 2LOUISIANA652024
McfaddinTEXAS602016
Goliad PrairieTEXAS552016
JuniorLOUISIANA371991
GlencoeLOUISIANA352018
VintonLOUISIANA322009
Moon LakeTEXAS312011
Ville PlatteLOUISIANA292019
Moon Lake 2TEXAS262024
DanburyTEXAS222024
Hinkles FerTEXAS212024
EstherLOUISIANA182024
VanderbiltTEXAS161976
MauriceLOUISIANA152024
RichardLOUISIANA142024
Port AcresTEXAS92024
HackberryLOUISIANA82016
WinnieTEXAS82024
Forked IslandLOUISIANA72024
KatyTEXAS62024
StowellTEXAS52023
Rock IslandTEXAS52024
Forked Island 2LOUISIANA42010
ChinquapinTEXAS42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.