BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

American Crow In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

American Crow in Peninsular Florida has risen sharply: up 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+59%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

American Crow has risen sharply in Peninsular Florida: up 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

American Crow In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 26 (95% range 20–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
26Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
20–3395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 26 (95% range 20–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026251932
2027261932
2028261933
2029261933
2030262033

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording American Crow in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BelmoreFLORIDA982024
Devils GardnFLORIDA972025
Mt. OliveFLORIDA832025
PinecrestFLORIDA812025
SandyFLORIDA662015
KenansvilleFLORIDA542025
CroomFLORIDA472025
Island GroveFLORIDA462025
Mabel 2FLORIDA462025
NobletonFLORIDA432025
Sandy 2FLORIDA432025
PalmdaleFLORIDA422023
CrewsvilleFLORIDA422025
RomeoFLORIDA402025
San AntonioFLORIDA392025
GardnerFLORIDA391999
DeanvilleFLORIDA372019
FlamingoFLORIDA362025
MicanopyFLORIDA351991
Myakka HeadFLORIDA332011
MabelFLORIDA332011
FlemingtonFLORIDA331999
CitrusFLORIDA332025
Pennywash CrFLORIDA292024
OcalaFLORIDA292025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.