BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

American Crow In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

American Crow in Peninsular Florida has increased: up 49% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+49%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
67Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for American Crow in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

American Crow In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 26 (95% range 19–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-17%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
26Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
19–3395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, American Crow in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 26 (95% range 19–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025251832
2026251832
2027251932
2028261932
2029261933

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording American Crow in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Mt. OliveFLORIDA1182024
BelmoreFLORIDA982024
SandyFLORIDA662015
PinecrestFLORIDA652024
San AntonioFLORIDA632024
Devils GardnFLORIDA622024
CroomFLORIDA572024
NobletonFLORIDA552024
RomeoFLORIDA522024
Mabel 2FLORIDA512019
CitrusFLORIDA512024
KenansvilleFLORIDA502024
FlamingoFLORIDA502024
Island GroveFLORIDA482024
CrewsvilleFLORIDA442024
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA422024
PalmdaleFLORIDA422023
Ft MccoyFLORIDA402024
GardnerFLORIDA391999
DeanvilleFLORIDA372019
MicanopyFLORIDA351991
Myakka HeadFLORIDA332011
MabelFLORIDA332011
FlemingtonFLORIDA331999
Sandy 2FLORIDA332024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.