Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher In Peninsular Florida
Acadian Flycatcher in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-83%Since 1968
12Routes In Region
38Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Acadian Flycatcher has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 83% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±372.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2028
0.00Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.1795% range
±372.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
Routes In Peninsular Florida
| Belmore | FLORIDA | 2 | 1993 |
| Micanopy | FLORIDA | 1 | 1986 |
| Romeo | FLORIDA | 1 | 1980 |
| St Augustine | FLORIDA | 1 | 2023 |
| Mabel | FLORIDA | 1 | 1988 |
| Scottsmoor | FLORIDA | 1 | 2007 |
| Ft Mccoy | FLORIDA | 1 | 1992 |
| Nobleton | FLORIDA | 1 | 1988 |
| Island Grove | FLORIDA | 1 | 2017 |
| Croom | FLORIDA | 1 | 1988 |
| Goethe | FLORIDA | 1 | 2021 |
| Babcock Rnch | FLORIDA | 1 | 1988 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.