Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher In Piedmont
Acadian Flycatcher in Piedmont has surged: up 86% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+86%Since 1968
155Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Piedmont: up 86% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Piedmont is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 3.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.3 (95% range 2.4–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-12%Change by 2029
3.3Projected 2029 index
2.4–4.195% range
±17%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| 2026 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| 2027 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| 2028 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| 2029 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 4.1 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 48 | 2024 |
| Pw Forest Pk | VIRGINIA | 31 | 2009 |
| Church Road | VIRGINIA | 16 | 2024 |
| Elamsville | VIRGINIA | 15 | 2016 |
| Ft Pickett S | VIRGINIA | 15 | 1995 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 14 | 2024 |
| Wylliesburg | VIRGINIA | 12 | 2019 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 10 | 2022 |
| Osmond | NORTH-CAROLINA | 10 | 2024 |
| Amherst | VIRGINIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Hall | VIRGINIA | 10 | 2023 |
| Partlow | VIRGINIA | 9 | 2015 |
| Mannboro | VIRGINIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Bullock | NORTH-CAROLINA | 8 | 2024 |
| Gupton | NORTH-CAROLINA | 8 | 2024 |
| Brodnax | VIRGINIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Forsyth | GEORGIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Rutledge | GEORGIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Youngsville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2024 |
| Durham | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2024 |
| Goldston | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2022 |
| Uwharrie Nf | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2001 |
| Whitmire | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2024 |
| Covesville | VIRGINIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Liberty City 2 | ALABAMA | 6 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.