Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Acadian Flycatcher In Central Hardwoods

Acadian Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+157%Since 1968
157Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.7 (95% range 3.8–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
3.85.695% range
±19.1%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.53.65.4
20264.63.75.4
20274.63.75.5
20284.73.85.5
20294.73.85.6

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Acadian Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods.
Trace LewisTENNESSEE302017
Mammoth CaveKENTUCKY242014
SanduskyILLINOIS222023
HoosierINDIANA222024
BremenILLINOIS202024
GeorgiaINDIANA192024
CollinwoodTENNESSEE192024
Indian Mound 2TENNESSEE192023
Cave In RockILLINOIS182024
JoyKENTUCKY162023
Mammoth Cave NorthKENTUCKY162013
WilliamsvillMISSOURI162024
Pond CreekTENNESSEE162024
Trace CollinwoodTENNESSEE162018
YorkILLINOIS132024
Bays ForkKENTUCKY132019
PulaskiILLINOIS122024
CelestineINDIANA122024
CorydonINDIANA122024
CampbellsvilleTENNESSEE112017
Clear SpringINDIANA102024
CantonKENTUCKY102024
BrownsvilleKENTUCKY102024
BennettMISSOURI102024
BarksMISSOURI102024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.