Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Acadian Flycatcher In Central Hardwoods
Acadian Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+157%Since 1968
157Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Acadian Flycatcher has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 157% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Acadian Flycatcher in Central Hardwoods is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.7 (95% range 3.8–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.1%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-5%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
3.8–5.695% range
±19.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| 2026 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| 2027 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
| 2028 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 2029 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 5.6 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Trace Lewis | TENNESSEE | 30 | 2017 |
| Mammoth Cave | KENTUCKY | 24 | 2014 |
| Sandusky | ILLINOIS | 22 | 2023 |
| Hoosier | INDIANA | 22 | 2024 |
| Bremen | ILLINOIS | 20 | 2024 |
| Georgia | INDIANA | 19 | 2024 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 19 | 2024 |
| Indian Mound 2 | TENNESSEE | 19 | 2023 |
| Cave In Rock | ILLINOIS | 18 | 2024 |
| Joy | KENTUCKY | 16 | 2023 |
| Mammoth Cave North | KENTUCKY | 16 | 2013 |
| Williamsvill | MISSOURI | 16 | 2024 |
| Pond Creek | TENNESSEE | 16 | 2024 |
| Trace Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 16 | 2018 |
| York | ILLINOIS | 13 | 2024 |
| Bays Fork | KENTUCKY | 13 | 2019 |
| Pulaski | ILLINOIS | 12 | 2024 |
| Celestine | INDIANA | 12 | 2024 |
| Corydon | INDIANA | 12 | 2024 |
| Campbellsville | TENNESSEE | 11 | 2017 |
| Clear Spring | INDIANA | 10 | 2024 |
| Canton | KENTUCKY | 10 | 2024 |
| Brownsville | KENTUCKY | 10 | 2024 |
| Bennett | MISSOURI | 10 | 2024 |
| Barks | MISSOURI | 10 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.