BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow Warbler In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionForest birds

Yellow Warbler in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+107%Since 1968
160Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Yellow Warbler has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow Warbler in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 9.6–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±6.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029
11Projected 2029 index
9.6–1395% range
±6.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025119.213
2026119.313
2027119.413
2028119.513
2029119.613

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Yellow Warbler in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
AshbyMINNESOTA502021
CumberlandWISCONSIN362024
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA332024
LapeerMICHIGAN302024
Chippewa Lk.MICHIGAN282024
DresserWISCONSIN272024
Fall RiverWISCONSIN262024
KnappMINNESOTA252024
GrimmsWISCONSIN252021
EdwardsMINNESOTA242024
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN242023
RichmondMICHIGAN222024
Caledonia 2MINNESOTA222024
PrattvilleMICHIGAN212021
Brook ParkMINNESOTA212024
BismarkOHIO211995
GilmantonWISCONSIN212024
ViroquaWISCONSIN212024
MatherWISCONSIN202023
OmroWISCONSIN202001
AlmenaMICHIGAN192015
LawrenceMICHIGAN182024
CoopersvilleMICHIGAN182024
TyreMICHIGAN181996
GlenwoodMINNESOTA182019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.