BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Yellow-bellied Flycatcher In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestAerial insectivores

Yellow-bellied Flycatcher in Atlantic Northern Forest has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-81%Since 1968
101Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Yellow-bellied Flycatcher has collapsed in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Yellow-bellied Flycatcher in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 120% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.21 (95% range 0.00–0.57). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±111.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+120%Change by 2029
0.21Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5795% range
±111.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.220.000.57
20260.220.000.57
20270.220.000.57
20280.210.000.57
20290.210.000.57

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Yellow-bellied Flycatcher in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Pillsbury PdMAINE461968
YankeetuladiMAINE52009
Big Twenty 2MAINE52009
Wilson MillsMAINE42024
South ArmMAINE31988
NorthfieldMAINE31981
Horse MtnMAINE31997
Weeks BrookMAINE32016
NesowadnehunMAINE32021
Clayton Lake 2MAINE32011
Heron LakeMAINE32003
Horseshoe L.NEW-YORK32016
Moose RiverMAINE21990
Carrying PlMAINE22023
GreenvilleMAINE22005
Forest StaMAINE22000
Clayton LakeMAINE22008
Big TwentyMAINE22008
TelosMAINE21995
Baker LakeMAINE22009
Northfield 2MAINE22022
StacyvilleMAINE22023
AndoverMAINE22021
StratfordNEW-HAMPSHIRE21972
Dixville Notch 2NEW-HAMPSHIRE22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.