BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Duck In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsWaterfowl

Wood Duck in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+76%Since 1968
292Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Wood Duck has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 76% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 48% by 2029 — from 0.26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.18–0.59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+48%Change by 2029
0.39Projected 2029 index
0.18–0.5995% range
±30.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.380.170.58
20260.380.170.59
20270.380.170.59
20280.380.180.59
20290.390.180.59

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Wood Duck in Appalachian Mountains.
Pine Mtn.VIRGINIA252014
CoshoctonOHIO181991
Pocono SummitPENNSYLVANIA142023
CartersvilleGEORGIA132017
Kemah LakeNEW-JERSEY102022
Mt OliveALABAMA92014
Mt NeboMARYLAND91969
Coal RunOHIO91991
EldredPENNSYLVANIA92010
GreentownPENNSYLVANIA92018
StickleyvillVIRGINIA91975
Mawr GlenPENNSYLVANIA82024
S VandaliaNEW-YORK72003
MifflintownPENNSYLVANIA72011
Sugar GroveWEST-VIRGINIA72006
EllentonPENNSYLVANIA62019
Brunnerville 2PENNSYLVANIA62019
DrummondALABAMA52022
Amos MillGEORGIA52021
DownsvilleNEW-YORK52017
ToddNORTH-CAROLINA52022
NewcomerstwnOHIO51994
BetulaPENNSYLVANIA52018
Mt OliveTENNESSEE52019
DawsonALABAMA41996

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.