BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Wood Duck In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainWaterfowl

Wood Duck in Southeastern Coastal Plain has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+46%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
286Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Duck in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Wood Duck In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 19% by 2030 — from 0.57 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.68 (95% range 0.38–0.98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.68Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.38–0.9895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±41.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 19% by 2030 — from 0.57 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.68 (95% range 0.38–0.98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.670.370.97
20270.670.370.97
20280.680.370.98
20290.680.380.98
20300.680.380.98

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Wood Duck in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Old TrapNORTH-CAROLINA262022
OusleyGEORGIA242025
PinetopsNORTH-CAROLINA122022
SpeedNORTH-CAROLINA112025
BethanyGEORGIA82021
Bay MinetteALABAMA72024
St Vincent IFLORIDA72018
NeelyMISSISSIPPI72011
WorkmoreGEORGIA62005
ScoobaMISSISSIPPI61981
BloxhamFLORIDA52022
New HopeFLORIDA52010
FowlstownGEORGIA52013
WrightsvilleGEORGIA51993
UticaMISSISSIPPI51986
GreensboroALABAMA42023
GrangeburgALABAMA42024
CastleberryALABAMA42024
MillryALABAMA42011
Dauphin IsALABAMA41989
Rock ChapelALABAMA42023
BelmontFLORIDA42024
Dowling ParkFLORIDA42025
Alligator PtFLORIDA42022
DeepstepGEORGIA42011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.