Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wood Duck In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Wood Duck in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+134%Since 1969
65Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Wood Duck has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 94% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.23–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±106.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+94%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.23–3.895% range
±106.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 0.19 | 3.7 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 0.20 | 3.7 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 0.21 | 3.8 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 0.22 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 0.23 | 3.8 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| England | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2021 |
| Winterville | MISSISSIPPI | 7 | 2011 |
| Baton Rouge | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Dundee | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 2022 |
| Delta N.F. | MISSISSIPPI | 6 | 2021 |
| Dell | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2018 |
| Wilson | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Tchula 3 | MISSISSIPPI | 5 | 2023 |
| Hughes | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2019 |
| Saffell | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2017 |
| Kelso | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2011 |
| Kraemer | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 4 | 2014 |
| Tippo | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2021 |
| Tallahatchie | MISSISSIPPI | 4 | 2023 |
| West Tyler | ARKANSAS | 3 | 1984 |
| South Bend | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2023 |
| Harrisburg | ARKANSAS | 3 | 1999 |
| Maynard | ARKANSAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Morgan City | LOUISIANA | 3 | 1986 |
| Keystone | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2013 |
| Shaw | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2024 |
| Transylvania | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2017 |
| Rayville 2 | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2016 |
| River Road | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.