BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Duck In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasWaterfowl

Wood Duck in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+19%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
80Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Wood Duck in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Wood Duck In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+14%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.36Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.7995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±17.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.36 (95% range 0.00–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.370.000.79
20260.370.000.79
20270.360.000.79
20280.360.000.79
20290.360.000.79

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Wood Duck in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CartervilleLOUISIANA111992
HavanaARKANSAS62021
McalesterOKLAHOMA61985
Coal HillARKANSAS52023
NanceARKANSAS51997
De QuincyLOUISIANA52019
StarkARKANSAS42006
CypressLOUISIANA41987
TroutLOUISIANA42012
CheniereLOUISIANA42024
HollywoodARKANSAS32005
FishvilleLOUISIANA32010
FillmoreLOUISIANA31979
ManyLOUISIANA31989
WomackLOUISIANA32007
Burr FerryLOUISIANA32015
BethelOKLAHOMA32000
Liberty HillTEXAS32014
Mt. SelmanTEXAS32021
Old MiloARKANSAS22006
HopeARKANSAS21990
AshdownARKANSAS22015
CrowsARKANSAS21990
BlakelyARKANSAS21993
MassardARKANSAS22022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.