BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wood Duck In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionWaterfowl

Wood Duck in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 146% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+146%Since 1968
156Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Wood Duck has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 146% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Wood Duck in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 116% by 2029 — from 0.83 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.59–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+116%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.59–3.095% range
±74.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.532.9
20261.80.553.0
20271.80.563.0
20281.80.573.0
20291.80.593.0

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Wood Duck in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
OmroWISCONSIN291999
Indiana DuneINDIANA162023
BismarkOHIO141995
KielWISCONSIN122022
Columbia CtyINDIANA102024
Big RapidsMICHIGAN81990
HomerMICHIGAN82017
OsseoMINNESOTA82021
HudsonWISCONSIN82024
Fall RiverWISCONSIN72024
AshbyMINNESOTA62021
WiotaWISCONSIN62024
St CharlesMICHIGAN52010
KnappMINNESOTA52019
GlenwoodMINNESOTA52019
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA52024
MontereyMICHIGAN42024
Barry S.G.A. 2MICHIGAN42019
MinnetonkaMINNESOTA42021
CochraneWISCONSIN42024
CascoWISCONSIN42018
N FreedomWISCONSIN42021
HollandWISCONSIN42012
LakevilleINDIANA32016
BravoMICHIGAN32013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.