BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Wilson's Snipe Population Trend in New York

All statesShorebirds

Wilson's Snipe in New York has surged: up 154% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+154%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
70Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Wilson's Snipe Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Wilson's Snipe has surged in New York: up 154% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Wilson's Snipe Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in New York is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±136%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.22Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.5995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±136%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Snipe in New York is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 0.19 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.59). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±136%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.230.000.59
20260.220.000.59
20270.220.000.59
20280.220.000.59
20290.220.000.59

Wilson's Snipe Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Wilson's Snipe in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Waddington919981981
Ogdensburg720191979
Ellenburg620061989
Sciota520061974
Philadelphia520231980
Castile320061969
Alder Creek320041974
Highmarket320241974
Number Four319981967
Parishville320241969
Old Forge 2220072007
Randolph219841970
Cherry Hill219751975
St Johnsburg219761971
Gabriels220151975
Sabattis219831966
Tupper Lake219761969
Balmat219851977
Warwick119721970
Mt Hope120102010
Austerlitz119951995
Meridale120242005
Cobleskill120212021
Laurens120132001
Coventryvile119861986

Wilson's Snipe Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.